Somalia’s 2026 drought is a structural climate fragility crisis, with 4.4 million people at risk of acute food insecurity and over 3 million IDPs affected. Livestock loss (≈40% of GDP), food import dependence, and humanitarian funding gaps amplify risk. Recurrent drought cycles, ecological degradation, and synchronized regional climate stress in the Horn of Africa further deepen systemic vulnerability. The report concludes that outcomes depend less on rainfall and more on governance—anticipatory financing, asset protection, fiscal buffering, and coordinated institutional response.
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